“A Carrington event today would destroy all technology”: how much of it is actually true?
An extreme event would pose serious risks to vulnerable infrastructure, but impacts would depend on intensity, duration, geometry, systems involved and mitigation. “All technology destroyed” is not a scientific forecast.
What it really means
To test a claim, separate what genuinely changes auroral physics from what only changes our ability to see it. The Sun, magnetosphere, atmosphere, clouds, ambient light and camera sensitivity belong to different parts of the problem. There is usually a kernel of truth, but the problem begins when context is removed. That context is what separates useful practical advice from a false universal rule.
Why it matters
The most useful question is which measurable quantity should change if the claim were true. This avoids relying on isolated photographs, personal anecdotes or apps that oversimplify a dynamic phenomenon. The right approach is to turn the absolute statement into a probabilistic question: does it increase or decrease the odds, under which conditions, and what other factor might explain what we are seeing?
How to interpret it without oversimplifying
Auroras invite simple rules, but the physics rarely fits a slogan. The myth about “A Carrington event today would destroy all technology” usually starts when a useful correlation is turned into an absolute law.